Cooler Atlantic Waters and Emerging El Nino to Reduce Activity
ANDOVER, Mass. (May 19, 2014) — Weather Services International (WSI) has issued its monthly update to the tropical forecast for the 2014 season, and continues to expect a total of 11 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. This represents no change from the previous two forecasts issued in March and April. These numbers are lower than both the 1950-2013 normals of 12/7/3 and the more recent “active period” (1995-2013) normals of 15/8/4.
According to WSI Chief Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford:
“There has been no significant change in the output from our forecast guidance for the upcoming tropical season. Tropical Atlantic surface temperatures remain rather cool relative to the average of the last 20 years, and an emerging El Nino event also tilts the odds towards reduced activity this season. The various dynamical and statistical models that we use remain in unusual agreement, predicting between 9-11 named storms, between 4-6 hurricanes, and between 0-2 major hurricanes this year. There is no compelling reason to change our forecast at this time.”
WSI provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. This is the last tropical update of the season. WSI will issue its next update on tropical season on June 24.
About WSI Corporation
WSI (Weather Services International) and Weather Central are the world's leading providers of weather-driven business solutions for professionals in the energy, aviation, insurance and media markets, as well as multiple federal and state government agencies. Together they comprise the professional division of The Weather Company and are owned by a consortium made up of NBC Universal and the private equity firms, The Blackstone Group and Bain Capital.